Tennessee is a heavy favorite winning 76.0% of simulations over Mississippi State. Joey Aguilar is averaging 324.0 passing yards and 2.46 TDs per simulation and Star Thomas is projected for 82.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24.0% of simulations where Mississippi State wins, Blake Shapen averages 2.8 TD passes vs 0.33 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.5 TDs to 0.45 interceptions. Fluff Bothwell averages 62.0 rushing yards and 0.97 rushing TDs when Mississippi State wins and 55.0 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. Tennessee has a 19.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST +8.5 --- Over/Under line is 62.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Tennessee | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1-2-0 | All Games | 3-0-0 | Mississippi State |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-10-00 | Home Games | 2-0-0 | Mississippi State |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 1-0-0 | Mississippi State |
| Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-0-0 | Mississippi State |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Tennessee | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-13-0 | All Games | 8-12-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 100-10-00 | Home Games | 0-11-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 2-13-0 | When Underdog | 8-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 6-8-0 | Conference Opp | 6-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tennessee | O-U-P RECORD | Mississippi State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-3-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 0-2-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-2-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-0-0 | OVER |
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