September 23, 2025 8:36 AM EST

Oregon vs Penn State 2025-09-27 18:30:00.0

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Penn State is a solid favorite with a 68.0% chance to beat Oregon. Nicholas Singleton is projected for 89.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32.0% of simulations where Oregon wins, Dante Moore averages 3.17 TD passes vs 0.16 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.76 TDs to 0.3 interceptions. Dante Moore averages 109.0 rushing yards and 1.52 rushing TDs when Oregon wins and 99.0 yards and 0.89 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 23.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 78.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 52.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

OregonATS RECORDPenn StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-2-0All Games 0-2-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-10-00Home Games 0-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1-1-0Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0Oregon

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

OregonATS RECORDPenn StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-15-0All Games 12-15-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 0-15-0 No Edge
When Underdog 8-0-0When Favored 1-14-0Oregon
Non-Conference Opp 7-11-0Non-Conference Opp 5-9-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-5-0Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

OregonO-U-P RECORDPenn StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0OVER
On Road 0-1-0At Home 2-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 11-2-0All Totals Last Season 13-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-1-0At Home Last Season 7-2-0OVER

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