AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida State winning 49.0% of simulations, and Virginia 51.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida State commits fewer turnovers in 5.0% of simulations and they go on to win 65.0% when they take care of the ball. Virginia wins 58.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Thomas Castellanos is averaging 270.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Chandler Morris is averaging 313.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA +7.0 --- Over/Under line is 58.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Florida State | ATS RECORD | Virginia | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1-1-0 | All Games | 2-1-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-00-00 | Home Games | 2-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Florida State | ATS RECORD | Virginia | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-13-0 | All Games | 12-10-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 80-20-00 | Home Games | 1-10-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 1-11-0 | When Underdog | 10-0-0 | Virginia |
| Conference Opp | 5-8-0 | Conference Opp | 9-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-2-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Florida State | O-U-P RECORD | Virginia | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-5-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-2-0 | OVER |
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