AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Troy winning 42.0% of simulations, and Buffalo 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Troy commits fewer turnovers in 30.0% of simulations and they go on to win 54.0% when they take care of the ball. Buffalo wins 68.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jordan Lovett is averaging 53.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. AlJay Henderson is averaging 165.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 42.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Troy | ATS RECORD | Buffalo | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1-1-0 | All Games | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-00-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-0 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | Buffalo |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Troy | ATS RECORD | Buffalo | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-6-0 | All Games | 8-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 60-10-00 | Home Games | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-2-0 | When Favored | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-3-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Troy | O-U-P RECORD | Buffalo | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-1-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-3-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-1-1 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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