September 16, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Toledo vs Western Michigan 2025-09-20 14:30:00.0

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Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 76.0% of simulations over Western Michigan. Tucker Gleason is averaging 169.0 passing yards and 1.39 TDs per simulation and Chip Trayanum is projected for 151.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24.0% of simulations where Western Michigan wins, Mareyohn Hrabowski averages 0.85 TD passes vs 0.55 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.4 TDs to 0.7 interceptions. Tailique Williams averages 57.0 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when Western Michigan wins and 50.0 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 43.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WMICH +14.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

ToledoATS RECORDWestern MichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-0-0All Games 2-1-0Toledo
Road + Neutral Field 10-00-00Home Games 1-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 1-0-0When Underdog 2-1-0Toledo
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 1-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

ToledoATS RECORDWestern MichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-8-0All Games 7-7-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 0-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-8-0When Underdog 7-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-4-0Conference Opp 3-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-4-0Opp .500+ Record 4-0-0Western Michigan

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

ToledoO-U-P RECORDWestern MichiganO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-2-0UNDER
On Road 0-1-0At Home 1-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 11-1-0All Totals Last Season 10-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 5-0-0OVER

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