Mississippi State is a heavy favorite winning 86.0% of simulations over Northern Illinois. Blake Shapen is averaging 275.0 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Davon Booth is projected for 52.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14.0% of simulations where Northern Illinois wins, Josh Holst averages 0.96 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.43 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Telly Johnson Jr. averages 80.0 rushing yards and 0.77 rushing TDs when Northern Illinois wins and 70.0 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 44.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -21.5 --- Over/Under line is 49.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Northern Illinois | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1-0-0 | All Games | 2-0-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-00-00 | Home Games | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-0-0 | When Favored | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Northern Illinois | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-5-0 | All Games | 8-12-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 90-00-00 | Home Games | 0-11-0 | Northern Illinois |
| When Underdog | 9-0-0 | When Favored | 0-10-0 | Northern Illinois |
| Non-Conference Opp | 5-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Northern Illinois | O-U-P RECORD | Mississippi State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-2-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 0-1-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-2-1 | All Totals Last Season | 9-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-0-0 | OVER |
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