AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Carolina State winning 50.0% of simulations, and Duke 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Carolina State commits fewer turnovers in 26.0% of simulations and they go on to win 60.0% when they take care of the ball. Duke wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. CJ Bailey is averaging 331.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Henry Belin IV is averaging 86.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is DUKE -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| North Carolina State | ATS RECORD | Duke | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-1-0 | All Games | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-00-00 | Home Games | 0-1-0 | North Carolina State |
| When Underdog | 0-0-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| North Carolina State | ATS RECORD | Duke | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-15-0 | All Games | 11-11-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 80-10-00 | Home Games | 0-10-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 8-2-0 | When Favored | 1-10-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 6-9-0 | Conference Opp | 6-8-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| North Carolina State | O-U-P RECORD | Duke | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 1-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-2-1 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-1-1 | OVER |
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