September 16, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Nevada vs Western Kentucky 2025-09-20 18:00:00.0

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Western Kentucky is a solid favorite with a 68.0% chance to beat Nevada. La'Vell Wright is projected for 44.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32.0% of simulations where Nevada wins, Chubba Purdy averages 1.82 TD passes vs 1.05 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.04 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Chubba Purdy averages 83.0 rushing yards and 0.72 rushing TDs when Nevada wins and 74.0 yards and 0.42 TDs in losses. Western Kentucky has a 38.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WKY -11.5 --- Over/Under line is 54.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

NevadaATS RECORDWestern KentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-1-0All Games 0-1-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1-1-0Non-Conference Opp 0-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-1-0Opp Under .500 0-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

NevadaATS RECORDWestern KentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-7-0All Games 11-8-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 1-7-0 No Edge
When Underdog 8-1-0When Favored 1-7-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 4-4-0Non-Conference Opp 5-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-4-0Opp Under .500 1-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

NevadaO-U-P RECORDWestern KentuckyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-0-0OVER
On Road 1-0-0At Home 0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-3-0All Totals Last Season 9-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 3-1-0OVER

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