September 16, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Georgia State vs Vanderbilt 2025-09-20 18:30:00.0

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Vanderbilt is a heavy favorite winning 90.0% of simulations over Georgia State. Diego Pavia is averaging 141.0 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Sedrick Alexander is projected for 73.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10.0% of simulations where Georgia State wins, DJ Riles averages 1.35 TD passes vs 0.37 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.62 TDs to 0.6 interceptions. Rashad Amos averages 110.0 rushing yards and 0.93 rushing TDs when Georgia State wins and 97.0 yards and 0.45 TDs in losses. Vanderbilt has a 56.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN -26.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Georgia StateATS RECORDVanderbiltATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0All Games 2-0-0Vanderbilt
Road + Neutral Field 00-10-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-2-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0Non-Conference Opp 1-0-0Vanderbilt
Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0Opp Under .500 1-0-0Vanderbilt

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Georgia StateATS RECORDVanderbiltATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-5-0All Games 11-12-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 60-10-00Home Games 2-11-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-1-0When Favored 0-12-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 4-2-0Non-Conference Opp 3-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0Opp Under .500 1-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Georgia StateO-U-P RECORDVanderbiltO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0No Edge
On Road 1-0-0At Home 0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-1-0All Totals Last Season 12-0-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 7-0-0OVER

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