September 16, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Fresno State vs Hawaii 2025-09-20 22:59:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Fresno State winning 47.0% of simulations, and Hawaii 53.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Fresno State commits fewer turnovers in 42.0% of simulations and they go on to win 57.0% when they take care of the ball. Hawaii wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bryson Donelson is averaging 164.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Landon Sims is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW +3.0 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Fresno StateATS RECORDHawaiiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-0-0All Games 0-2-0Fresno State
Road + Neutral Field 20-00-00Home Games 0-1-0Fresno State
When Favored 0-0-0When Underdog 0-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Fresno StateATS RECORDHawaiiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-6-0All Games 5-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 1-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-5-0When Underdog 5-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 3-4-0Conference Opp 2-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 5-1-0Opp Under .500 1-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Fresno StateO-U-P RECORDHawaiiO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0OVER
On Road 2-0-0At Home 1-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-2-0All Totals Last Season 8-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-2-0At Home Last Season 4-1-0OVER

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