September 16, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Florida vs Miami (FL) 2025-09-20 18:30:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 42.0% of simulations, and Miami (FL) 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 19.0% of simulations and they go on to win 57.0% when they take care of the ball. Miami (FL) wins 70.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. J. Michael Sturdivant is averaging 82.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Carson Beck is averaging 274.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 52.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

FloridaATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0All Games 2-0-0Miami (FL)
Road + Neutral Field 00-10-00Home Games 2-0-0Miami (FL)
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 1-0-0Miami (FL)
Non-Conference Opp 0-1-0Non-Conference Opp 2-0-0Miami (FL)
Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0Opp Under .500 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

FloridaATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-11-0All Games 9-14-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-00-00Home Games 0-13-0Florida
When Underdog 9-2-0When Favored 2-14-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 4-5-0Non-Conference Opp 3-7-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-2-0Opp .500+ Record 5-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

FloridaO-U-P RECORDMiami (FL)O-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-1-0At Home 2-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-1-0All Totals Last Season 11-0-1OVER
On Road Last Season 5-0-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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