September 16, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Boise State vs Air Force 2025-09-20 18:00:00.0

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 81.0% of simulations over Air Force. Maddux Madsen is averaging 321.0 passing yards and 1.84 TDs per simulation and Maddux Madsen is projected for 221.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19.0% of simulations where Air Force wins, Josh Johnson averages 0.4 TD passes vs 0.56 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.21 TDs to 0.7 interceptions. Dylan Carson averages 119.0 rushing yards and 1.21 rushing TDs when Air Force wins and 109.0 yards and 0.59 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 36.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AF +10.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Boise StateATS RECORDAir ForceATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-1-0All Games 0-1-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-10-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-1-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 0-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0Opp Under .500 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Boise StateATS RECORDAir ForceATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-6-0All Games 5-7-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 60-10-00Home Games 0-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-6-0When Underdog 5-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp 5-3-0Conference Opp 3-4-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-3-0Opp .500+ Record 1-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boise StateO-U-P RECORDAir ForceO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-1-0At Home 0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 13-0-0All Totals Last Season 9-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-0-0At Home Last Season 4-1-0OVER

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