Connecticut is a heavy favorite winning 95.0% of simulations over Ball State. Alexander Honig is averaging 142.0 passing yards and 1.0 TDs per simulation and Mel Brown is projected for 124.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 5.0% of simulations where Ball State wins, Kiael Kelly averages 2.49 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 0.98 interceptions. Qua Ashley averages 58.0 rushing yards and 0.62 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 49.0 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. Connecticut has a 27.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCONN -21.0 --- Over/Under line is 52.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Ball State | ATS RECORD | Connecticut | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1-1-0 | All Games | 0-0-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-10-00 | Home Games | 0-0-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-1 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Ball State | ATS RECORD | Connecticut | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-4-0 | All Games | 12-10-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 90-10-00 | Home Games | 2-9-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 10-1-0 | When Favored | 2-9-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 5-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 8-7-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Ball State | O-U-P RECORD | Connecticut | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-2-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-0-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-1-1 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 7-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-1-0 | OVER |
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