August 20, 2026 10:18 AM EST

North Carolina State vs Virginia 2026-08-29 14:30:00.0

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Virginia is a solid favorite with a 74.0% chance to beat North Carolina State. Peyton Lewis is projected for 90.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26.0% of simulations where North Carolina State wins, CJ Bailey averages 2.42 TD passes vs 1.1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.24 TDs to 1.43 interceptions. Davion Gause averages 132.0 rushing yards and 1.29 rushing TDs when North Carolina State wins and 118.0 yards and 0.68 TDs in losses. Virginia has a 42.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North Carolina StateATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North Carolina StateATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-6-0All Games 4-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-00-00Home Games 0-6-0North Carolina State
When Underdog 5-0-0When Favored 0-6-0North Carolina State
Conference Opp 3-4-0Conference Opp 3-4-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North Carolina StateO-U-P RECORDVirginiaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 0-0-0All Totals Last Season 0-0-0No Edge
On Road Last Season 0-0-0At Home Last Season 0-0-0No Edge

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