August 20, 2026 10:18 AM EST

New Mexico State vs Florida State 2026-08-29 18:00:00.0

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Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 97.0% of simulations over New Mexico State. Ashton Daniels is averaging 336.0 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Ashton Daniels is projected for 215.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 3.0% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Trey Hedden averages 1.36 TD passes vs 1.09 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.52 TDs to 1.52 interceptions. James Jones averages 93.0 rushing yards and 1.06 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 76.0 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 47.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -32.0 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-4-0All Games 5-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 40-00-00Home Games 0-6-0New Mexico State
When Underdog 4-0-0When Favored 0-6-0New Mexico State
Non-Conference Opp 2-1-0Non-Conference Opp 1-3-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Mexico StateO-U-P RECORDFlorida StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 0-0-0All Totals Last Season 0-0-0No Edge
On Road Last Season 0-0-0At Home Last Season 0-0-0No Edge

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