AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UNLV winning 51.0% of simulations, and Boise State 49.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UNLV commits fewer turnovers in 42.0% of simulations and they go on to win 61.0% when they take care of the ball. Boise State wins 60.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alex Orji is averaging 281.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Maddux Madsen is averaging 297.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| UNLV | ATS RECORD | Boise State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-4-0 | All Games | 5-5-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 40-10-00 | Home Games | 3-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-0 | When Favored | 4-4-1 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | Conference Opp | 3-4-1 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-1 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| UNLV | ATS RECORD | Boise State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-6-0 | All Games | 8-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 70-00-00 | Home Games | 2-5-0 | UNLV |
| When Underdog | 7-0-0 | When Favored | 2-6-0 | UNLV |
| Conference Opp | 5-3-0 | Conference Opp | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-1-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| UNLV | O-U-P RECORD | Boise State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-2-0 | At Home | 4-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-2-0 | All Totals Last Season | 13-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-0-0 | OVER |
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