December 02, 2025 1:19 PM EST

Troy vs JMAD 2025-12-05 19:00:00.0

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JMAD is a heavy favorite winning 88.0% of simulations over Troy. Alonza Barnett III is averaging 156.0 passing yards and 1.0 TDs per simulation and Alonza Barnett III is projected for 190.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12.0% of simulations where Troy wins, Goose Crowder averages 1.95 TD passes vs 0.9 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.86 TDs to 1.32 interceptions. Trey Cooley averages 71.0 rushing yards and 0.89 rushing TDs when Troy wins and 59.0 yards and 0.42 TDs in losses. JMAD has a 57.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is JMAD -23.0 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

TroyATS RECORDJMADATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-4-0All Games 7-4-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-10-00Home Games 3-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-2-0When Favored 6-4-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-2-0Conference Opp 4-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-2-0Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

TroyATS RECORDJMADATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-6-0All Games 8-7-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 60-10-00Home Games 1-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-2-0When Favored 2-7-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-3-0Conference Opp 2-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-4-0Opp Under .500 3-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

TroyO-U-P RECORDJMADO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 6-5-0UNDER
On Road 2-4-0At Home 3-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-3-0All Totals Last Season 10-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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