December 17, 2025 3:55 AM EST

Alabama vs Oklahoma 2025-12-19 20:00:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Alabama winning 45.0% of simulations, and Oklahoma 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Alabama commits fewer turnovers in 39.0% of simulations and they go on to win 54.0% when they take care of the ball. Oklahoma wins 67.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jam Miller is averaging 82.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. John Mateer is averaging 55.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OK +1.0 --- Over/Under line is 40.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

AlabamaATS RECORDOklahomaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-5-1All Games 7-3-1No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 20-20-10Home Games 3-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 5-4-1When Underdog 2-0-0Oklahoma
Non-Conference Opp 1-3-0Non-Conference Opp 7-2-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 5-3-1Opp .500+ Record 5-2-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

AlabamaATS RECORDOklahomaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-11-0All Games 10-11-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 100-10-00Home Games 1-11-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-11-0When Underdog 9-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 5-4-0Non-Conference Opp 9-9-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-2-0Opp .500+ Record 2-5-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

AlabamaO-U-P RECORDOklahomaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-7-2All Totals (O-U-P) 3-8-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field 1-2-2On Road & Neutral Field 1-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-1-0All Totals Last Season 9-2-0OVER
On Road & Neutral Field '24 6-0-0On Road & Neutral Field '24 4-0-0OVER

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