Alabama is a solid favorite with a 69.0% chance to beat LSU. Jam Miller is projected for 97.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 31.0% of simulations where LSU wins, Garrett Nussmeier averages 2.14 TD passes vs 0.79 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.17 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Garrett Nussmeier averages 44.0 rushing yards and 0.49 rushing TDs when LSU wins and 39.0 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 49.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -11.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| LSU | ATS RECORD | Alabama | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-3-0 | All Games | 4-3-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-20-00 | Home Games | 3-1-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-2-0 | When Favored | 3-3-1 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 3-2-0 | Conference Opp | 3-1-1 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-1-1 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| LSU | ATS RECORD | Alabama | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-13-0 | All Games | 12-11-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 70-10-00 | Home Games | 2-10-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-0-0 | When Favored | 2-11-0 | LSU |
| Conference Opp | 5-7-0 | Conference Opp | 7-7-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-6-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| LSU | O-U-P RECORD | Alabama | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-4-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-2-0 | At Home | 2-2-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-3-0 | All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-1-0 | OVER |
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