AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 52.0% of simulations, and Kentucky 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 51.0% of simulations and they go on to win 62.0% when they take care of the ball. Kentucky wins 67.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. J. Michael Sturdivant is averaging 42.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Zach Calzada is averaging 49.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY +4.5 --- Over/Under line is 43.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Florida | ATS RECORD | Kentucky | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-5-0 | All Games | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-30-00 | Home Games | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-2-0 | When Underdog | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Conference Opp | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Florida | ATS RECORD | Kentucky | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-11-0 | All Games | 11-9-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 90-00-00 | Home Games | 3-9-0 | Florida |
| When Favored | 1-9-0 | When Underdog | 9-0-0 | Kentucky |
| Conference Opp | 6-6-0 | Conference Opp | 7-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Florida | O-U-P RECORD | Kentucky | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-3-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-2-0 | At Home | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-3-0 | OVER |
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