AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Houston winning 53.0% of simulations, and UCF 47.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Houston commits fewer turnovers in 22.0% of simulations and they go on to win 63.0% when they take care of the ball. UCF wins 58.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Conner Weigman is averaging 66.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Cam Fancher is averaging 93.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCF +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 48.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Houston | ATS RECORD | UCF | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-3-0 | All Games | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-10-00 | Home Games | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 3-2-0 | When Underdog | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | Conference Opp | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Houston | ATS RECORD | UCF | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 12-11-0 | All Games | 9-12-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 110-10-00 | Home Games | 0-11-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 1-9-0 | When Underdog | 9-0-0 | UCF |
| Conference Opp | 7-7-0 | Conference Opp | 8-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Houston |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston | O-U-P RECORD | UCF | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-1-0 | At Home | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-0-0 | OVER |
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