Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 76.0% of simulations over Northern Illinois. Tucker Gleason is averaging 133.0 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Chip Trayanum is projected for 159.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24.0% of simulations where Northern Illinois wins, Josh Holst averages 1.18 TD passes vs 0.89 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.61 TDs to 1.15 interceptions. Telly Johnson Jr. averages 104.0 rushing yards and 1.04 rushing TDs when Northern Illinois wins and 95.0 yards and 0.5 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 37.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -14.5 --- Over/Under line is 42.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Northern Illinois | ATS RECORD | Toledo | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1-6-0 | All Games | 5-2-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-30-00 | Home Games | 3-0-0 | Toledo |
| When Underdog | 1-4-0 | When Favored | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 0-4-0 | Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-2-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Northern Illinois | ATS RECORD | Toledo | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-5-0 | All Games | 7-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 90-00-00 | Home Games | 0-7-0 | Northern Illinois |
| When Underdog | 9-0-0 | When Favored | 0-8-0 | Northern Illinois |
| Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Northern Illinois | O-U-P RECORD | Toledo | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-5-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-4-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-3-0 | At Home | 2-1-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-2-1 | All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-0-0 | OVER |
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