AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Carolina winning 58.0% of simulations, and North Carolina State 42.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Carolina commits fewer turnovers in 6.0% of simulations and they go on to win 73.0% when they take care of the ball. North Carolina State wins 45.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drake Maye is averaging 500.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Jordan Houston is averaging 83.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST +2.0 --- Over/Under line is 55.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| North Carolina | ATS RECORD | North Carolina State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-6-0 | All Games | 5-5-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 20-20-00 | Home Games | 3-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 4-6-0 | When Underdog | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 2-5-0 | Conference Opp | 4-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| North Carolina | ATS RECORD | North Carolina State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-8-0 | All Games | 4-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-30-00 | Home Games | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 2-7-0 | When Underdog | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 4-5-0 | Conference Opp | 2-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| North Carolina | O-U-P RECORD | North Carolina State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-1-0 | At Home | 4-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 4-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-5-0 | UNDER |
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