Louisville is a solid favorite with a 74.0% chance to beat Kentucky. Jawhar Jordan is projected for 75.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26.0% of simulations where Kentucky wins, Devin Leary averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.86 TDs to 0.87 interceptions. Ray Davis averages 90.0 rushing yards and 1.24 rushing TDs when Kentucky wins and 78.0 yards and 0.67 TDs in losses. Louisville has a 37.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Kentucky | ATS RECORD | Louisville | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-5-0 | All Games | 6-5-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-20-00 | Home Games | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-3-0 | When Favored | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | Kentucky |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Kentucky | ATS RECORD | Louisville | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-2-1 | All Games | 8-5-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-10-00 | Home Games | 6-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-1-0 | When Favored | 5-2-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 5-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-1-0 | Kentucky |
| Opp .500+ Record | 6-1-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kentucky | O-U-P RECORD | Louisville | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-0-0 | At Home | 4-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 0-12-0 | All Totals Last Season | 3-8-1 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 0-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-4-0 | UNDER |
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