Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 89.0% of simulations over Auburn. Jalen Milroe is averaging 259.0 passing yards and 2.42 TDs per simulation and Jase McClellan is projected for 65.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 11.0% of simulations where Auburn wins, Payton Thorne averages 1.45 TD passes vs 0.24 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.3 interceptions. Payton Thorne averages 58.0 rushing yards and 0.31 rushing TDs when Auburn wins and 54.0 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 13.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AUB +14.5 --- Over/Under line is 49.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Alabama | ATS RECORD | Auburn | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-3-0 | All Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-10-00 | Home Games | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 5-3-0 | When Underdog | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 5-1-0 | Conference Opp | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Alabama | ATS RECORD | Auburn | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-4-0 | All Games | 6-5-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-30-00 | Home Games | 4-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 6-4-0 | When Underdog | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 4-3-0 | Conference Opp | 4-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-5-0 | Alabama |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Alabama | O-U-P RECORD | Auburn | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-3-1 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-2-0 | At Home | 2-1-1 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-4-0 | OVER |
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