November 27, 2023 9:15 AM CST

Troy vs Southern Miss 2023-11-25 13:00:00.0 Game Forecast Preview  
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Troy is a heavy favorite winning 80.0% of simulations over Southern Miss. Gunnar Watson is averaging 233.0 passing yards and 2.03 TDs per simulation and Kimani Vidal is projected for 111.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20.0% of simulations where Southern Miss wins, Billy Wiles averages 1.13 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. JQ Gray averages 90.0 rushing yards and 0.75 rushing TDs when Southern Miss wins and 80.0 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Troy has a 31.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS +17.0 --- Over/Under line is 48.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games 8-3-0All Games 2-9-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-10-00Home Games 0-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-1-0When Favored 0-5-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 2-2-0Non-Conference Opp 2-8-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 5-0-0Opp .500+ Record 1-4-0Troy

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games 8-4-0All Games 7-4-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 40-10-00Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-0-0When Favored 2-3-0Troy
Non-Conference Opp 3-3-0Non-Conference Opp 6-4-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-2-0Opp .500+ Record 5-1-0No Edge


All Totals (O-U-P) 3-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 9-1-0OVER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 3-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 4-7-0All Totals Last Season 4-6-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-3-0At Home Last Season 4-1-0OVER

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