Troy is a heavy favorite winning 80.0% of simulations over Southern Miss. Gunnar Watson is averaging 233.0 passing yards and 2.03 TDs per simulation and Kimani Vidal is projected for 111.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20.0% of simulations where Southern Miss wins, Billy Wiles averages 1.13 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. JQ Gray averages 90.0 rushing yards and 0.75 rushing TDs when Southern Miss wins and 80.0 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Troy has a 31.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS +17.0 --- Over/Under line is 48.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Troy | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-3-0 | All Games | 2-9-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 50-10-00 | Home Games | 0-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-1-0 | When Favored | 0-5-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-8-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 5-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-4-0 | Troy |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Troy | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-4-0 | All Games | 7-4-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 40-10-00 | Home Games | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-0-0 | When Favored | 2-3-0 | Troy |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-3-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 6-4-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-1-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Troy | O-U-P RECORD | Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-7-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-3-0 | At Home | 3-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 4-7-0 | All Totals Last Season | 4-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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