November 27, 2023 9:15 AM CST

Penn State vs Michigan State 2023-11-24 20:30:00.0 Game Forecast Preview  
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Penn State is a heavy favorite winning 93.0% of simulations over Michigan State. Drew Allar is averaging 245.0 passing yards and 2.38 TDs per simulation and Drew Allar is projected for 70.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 7.0% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Noah Kim averages 0.96 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.41 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Jalen Berger averages 53.0 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 43.0 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 44.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST +21.0 --- Over/Under line is 43.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games 8-3-0All Games 5-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 40-10-00Home Games 2-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-2-0When Favored 2-0-0Michigan State
Conference Opp 6-3-0Conference Opp 4-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-1-0Opp .500+ Record 4-6-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games 10-3-0All Games 4-7-1No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-10-00Home Games 3-4-1 No Edge
When Underdog 1-1-0When Favored 2-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp 7-2-0Conference Opp 2-6-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-2-0Opp .500+ Record 2-5-1No Edge


Penn StateO-U-P RECORDMichigan StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-4-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0OVER
On Road 2-2-0At Home 2-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-4-0All Totals Last Season 5-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-0-0At Home Last Season 4-3-0OVER

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