Penn State is a heavy favorite winning 93.0% of simulations over Michigan State. Drew Allar is averaging 245.0 passing yards and 2.38 TDs per simulation and Drew Allar is projected for 70.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 7.0% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Noah Kim averages 0.96 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.41 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Jalen Berger averages 53.0 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 43.0 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 44.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST +21.0 --- Over/Under line is 43.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Penn State | ATS RECORD | Michigan State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-3-0 | All Games | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 40-10-00 | Home Games | 2-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-2-0 | When Favored | 2-0-0 | Michigan State |
| Conference Opp | 6-3-0 | Conference Opp | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-6-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Penn State | ATS RECORD | Michigan State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-3-0 | All Games | 4-7-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 50-10-00 | Home Games | 3-4-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-0 | When Favored | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 7-2-0 | Conference Opp | 2-6-1 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-1 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Penn State | O-U-P RECORD | Michigan State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-2-0 | At Home | 2-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-4-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-7-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-3-0 | OVER |
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