October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

Toledo vs Bowling Green 2025-10-11 11:00:00.0

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Toledo is a solid favorite with a 65.0% chance to beat Bowling Green. Chip Trayanum is projected for 168.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35.0% of simulations where Bowling Green wins, Drew Pyne averages 1.05 TD passes vs 1.07 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.59 TDs to 1.34 interceptions. Chris McMillian averages 101.0 rushing yards and 1.09 rushing TDs when Bowling Green wins and 90.0 yards and 0.62 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 49.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BG +10.5 --- Over/Under line is 49.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

ToledoATS RECORDBowling GreenATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-1-0All Games 3-1-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-10-00Home Games 1-0-0Bowling Green
When Favored 2-1-0When Underdog 3-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 1-1-0Conference Opp 0-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-1-0Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Bowling Green

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

ToledoATS RECORDBowling GreenATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-8-0All Games 7-8-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 0-7-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-8-0When Underdog 7-0-0Bowling Green
Conference Opp 4-4-0Conference Opp 3-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-2-0Opp .500+ Record 3-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

ToledoO-U-P RECORDBowling GreenO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 3-1-0No Edge
On Road 0-2-0At Home 0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-1-0All Totals Last Season 10-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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