October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

Stanford vs Southern Methodist 2025-10-11 11:00:00.0

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Southern Methodist is a heavy favorite winning 80.0% of simulations over Stanford. Kevin Jennings is averaging 296.0 passing yards and 3.2 TDs per simulation and TJ Harden is projected for 145.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20.0% of simulations where Stanford wins, Ben Gulbranson averages 2.53 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.31 TDs to 0.89 interceptions. E.J. Smith averages 105.0 rushing yards and 1.15 rushing TDs when Stanford wins and 90.0 yards and 0.66 TDs in losses. Southern Methodist has a 37.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMETH -19.0 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

StanfordATS RECORDSouthern MethodistATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-3-0All Games 0-3-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-20-00Home Games 0-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-2-0When Favored 0-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 2-3-0Non-Conference Opp 0-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-1-0Opp Under .500 0-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

StanfordATS RECORDSouthern MethodistATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-11-0All Games 11-11-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 110-10-00Home Games 2-10-0 No Edge
When Underdog 12-2-0When Favored 1-11-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 11-10-0Non-Conference Opp 11-11-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-0Opp Under .500 3-0-0Southern Methodist

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

StanfordO-U-P RECORDSouthern MethodistO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-2-0OVER
On Road 2-1-0At Home 1-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-3-0All Totals Last Season 11-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-2-0At Home Last Season 6-1-0OVER

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