October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

Pittsburgh vs Florida State 2025-10-11 11:00:00.0

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Florida State is a solid favorite with a 68.0% chance to beat Pittsburgh. Gavin Blackwell is projected for 55.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32.0% of simulations where Pittsburgh wins, averages 0.04 TD passes vs 0.0 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.02 TDs to 0.0 interceptions. Jake McConnachie averages 164.0 rushing yards and 1.8 rushing TDs when Pittsburgh wins and 143.0 yards and 1.01 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 9.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -10.5 --- Over/Under line is 57.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

PittsburghATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-2-0All Games 1-3-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-10-00Home Games 1-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 0-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp 1-1-0Conference Opp 0-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 1-1-0Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

PittsburghATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 13-10-0All Games 9-13-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 110-00-00Home Games 1-11-0Pittsburgh
When Underdog 11-0-0When Favored 1-11-0Pittsburgh
Conference Opp 6-7-0Conference Opp 5-8-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-1-0Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

PittsburghO-U-P RECORDFlorida StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0No Edge
On Road 0-1-0At Home 1-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 10-2-0All Totals Last Season 6-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-2-0At Home Last Season 2-4-0No Edge

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