October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

Ohio State vs Illinois 2025-10-11 11:00:00.0

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Ohio State is a heavy favorite winning 85.0% of simulations over Illinois. Julian Sayin is averaging 332.0 passing yards and 3.88 TDs per simulation and James Peoples is projected for 51.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15.0% of simulations where Illinois wins, Luke Altmyer averages 0.48 TD passes vs 0.04 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.27 TDs to 0.06 interceptions. Aidan Laughery averages 48.0 rushing yards and 0.34 rushing TDs when Illinois wins and 47.0 yards and 0.23 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 22.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL +14.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ohio StateATS RECORDIllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-1-0All Games 4-1-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 10-00-00Home Games 2-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-1-0When Underdog 1-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 1-0-0Conference Opp 1-1-0Ohio State
Opp .500+ Record 2-1-0Opp .500+ Record 2-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ohio StateATS RECORDIllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 13-14-0All Games 12-11-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 111-00-00Home Games 2-11-0Ohio State
When Favored 4-14-0When Underdog 11-0-0Illinois
Conference Opp 8-7-0Conference Opp 7-8-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0Opp .500+ Record 5-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ohio StateO-U-P RECORDIllinoisO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-1-0OVER
On Road 0-1-0At Home 1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 13-3-0All Totals Last Season 9-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-2-0At Home Last Season 5-2-0OVER

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