Penn State is a heavy favorite winning 97.0% of simulations over Northwestern. Drew Allar is averaging 276.0 passing yards and 2.9 TDs per simulation and Nicholas Singleton is projected for 87.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 3.0% of simulations where Northwestern wins, Preston Stone averages 1.4 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.64 TDs to 0.63 interceptions. Chase Farrell averages 50.0 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing TDs when Northwestern wins and 42.0 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 48.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST -22.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Northwestern | ATS RECORD | Penn State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-2-0 | All Games | 0-4-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-10-00 | Home Games | 0-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-0 | When Favored | 0-4-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-2-0 | Northwestern |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Northwestern | ATS RECORD | Penn State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-12-0 | All Games | 12-15-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 90-10-00 | Home Games | 0-15-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 9-2-0 | When Favored | 1-14-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 7-7-0 | Conference Opp | 7-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-6-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Northwestern | O-U-P RECORD | Penn State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 3-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-2-0 | All Totals Last Season | 13-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-2-0 | OVER |
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