October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

New Mexico vs Boise State 2025-10-11 20:45:00.0

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 89.0% of simulations over New Mexico. Maddux Madsen is averaging 373.0 passing yards and 2.7 TDs per simulation and Maddux Madsen is projected for 135.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 11.0% of simulations where New Mexico wins, Jack Layne averages 1.7 TD passes vs 1.17 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.58 interceptions. Scottre Humphrey averages 60.0 rushing yards and 1.18 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 49.0 yards and 0.61 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 53.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -16.5 --- Over/Under line is 60.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New MexicoATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-1-0All Games 3-1-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 20-10-00Home Games 1-0-0Boise State
When Underdog 2-1-0When Favored 2-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-1-0Conference Opp 1-0-0Boise State
Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Opp .500+ Record 2-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New MexicoATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-6-0All Games 8-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 80-10-00Home Games 2-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-2-0When Favored 2-6-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-3-0Conference Opp 5-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0Opp Under .500 3-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New MexicoO-U-P RECORDBoise StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0OVER
On Road 2-1-0At Home 1-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-1-0All Totals Last Season 13-0-0OVER
On Road Last Season 7-0-0At Home Last Season 7-0-0OVER

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