October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

Ball State vs Western Michigan 2025-10-11 14:30:00.0

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Western Michigan is a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over Ball State. Mareyohn Hrabowski is averaging 141.0 passing yards and 0.7 TDs per simulation and Tailique Williams is projected for 53.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Ball State wins, Kiael Kelly averages 1.48 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.63 TDs to 1.18 interceptions. Qua Ashley averages 67.0 rushing yards and 0.74 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 58.0 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Western Michigan has a 38.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WMICH -8.5 --- Over/Under line is 42.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ball StateATS RECORDWestern MichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-1-0All Games 4-1-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 20-10-00Home Games 2-0-0Western Michigan
When Underdog 3-1-0When Favored 1-0-0Western Michigan
Conference Opp 1-0-0Conference Opp 1-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-0-0Opp Under .500 1-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ball StateATS RECORDWestern MichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-4-0All Games 7-7-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 0-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 10-1-0When Favored 0-6-0No Edge
Conference Opp 5-3-0Conference Opp 3-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-0-0Opp Under .500 1-6-0Ball State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ball StateO-U-P RECORDWestern MichiganO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-4-0UNDER
On Road 1-2-0At Home 1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-0-0All Totals Last Season 10-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 7-0-0At Home Last Season 5-0-0OVER

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