October 08, 2025 5:29 AM EST

Air Force vs UNLV 2025-10-11 14:30:00.0

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UNLV is a heavy favorite winning 78.0% of simulations over Air Force. Alex Orji is averaging 114.0 passing yards and 0.6 TDs per simulation and Alex Orji is projected for 238.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22.0% of simulations where Air Force wins, Josh Johnson averages 0.74 TD passes vs 0.58 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.33 TDs to 0.83 interceptions. Dylan Carson averages 128.0 rushing yards and 1.13 rushing TDs when Air Force wins and 114.0 yards and 0.53 TDs in losses. UNLV has a 34.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UNLV -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 65.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Air ForceATS RECORDUNLVATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-3-0All Games 3-0-0UNLV
Road + Neutral Field 10-10-00Home Games 1-0-0UNLV
When Underdog 1-1-0When Favored 2-0-0UNLV
Conference Opp 0-3-0Conference Opp 1-0-0UNLV
Opp .500+ Record 1-1-0Opp Under .500 3-0-0UNLV

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Air ForceATS RECORDUNLVATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-7-0All Games 8-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-20-00Home Games 1-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-2-0When Favored 1-6-0No Edge
Conference Opp 3-4-0Conference Opp 5-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 1-3-0Opp Under .500 3-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Air ForceO-U-P RECORDUNLVO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-2-0OVER
On Road 2-0-0At Home 0-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-2-0All Totals Last Season 11-2-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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