January 05, 2026 7:52 AM EST

Oregon vs Indiana 2026-01-09 19:30:00.0

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Indiana is a heavy favorite winning 83.0% of simulations over Oregon. Fernando Mendoza is averaging 82.0 passing yards and 0.7 TDs per simulation and Kaelon Black is projected for 77.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17.0% of simulations where Oregon wins, Dante Moore averages 2.14 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.07 TDs to 0.43 interceptions. Dante Moore averages 99.0 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Oregon wins and 94.0 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Indiana has a 13.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND -4.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

OregonATS RECORDIndianaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-6-0All Games 6-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 40-20-00Home Games 2-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-0-0When Favored 4-6-0Oregon
Non-Conference Opp 5-5-0Non-Conference Opp 2-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 5-3-0Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

OregonATS RECORDIndianaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-15-0All Games 13-9-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 3-9-0 No Edge
When Underdog 8-0-0When Favored 5-9-0Oregon
Non-Conference Opp 7-11-0Non-Conference Opp 5-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-5-0Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

OregonO-U-P RECORDIndianaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 6-6-0OVER
On Road 2-4-0At Home 3-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-2-0All Totals Last Season 11-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-1-0At Home Last Season 6-1-0OVER

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