January 05, 2026 7:52 AM EST

Miami (FL) vs Ole MissState 2026-01-08 19:30:00.0

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Miami (FL) is a solid favorite with a 71.0% chance to beat Ole MissState. Mark Fletcher Jr. is projected for 44.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29.0% of simulations where Ole MissState wins, Austin Simmons averages 0.47 TD passes vs 1.39 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.24 TDs to 1.85 interceptions. Logan Diggs averages 79.0 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when Ole MissState wins and 67.0 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Miami (FL) has a 64.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISS +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami (FL)ATS RECORDOle MissStateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-5-0All Games 7-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 40-20-00Home Games 5-3-0 No Edge
When Favored 5-5-0When Underdog 1-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 5-2-0Non-Conference Opp 3-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0Opp .500+ Record 2-5-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami (FL)ATS RECORDOle MissStateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-14-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-14-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 3-7-0Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami (FL)O-U-P RECORDOle MissStateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-0UNDER
On Road 1-5-0At Home 3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-0-1All Totals Last Season 0-0-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-0-1At Home Last Season 0-0-0OVER

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