January 16, 2026 7:36 AM EST

Miami (FL) vs Indiana 2026-01-19 19:30:00.0

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Indiana is a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over Miami (FL). Fernando Mendoza is averaging 99.0 passing yards and 0.8 TDs per simulation and Kaelon Black is projected for 86.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Miami (FL) wins, Carson Beck averages 2.9 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.44 TDs to 0.47 interceptions. Mark Fletcher Jr. averages 46.0 rushing yards and 0.64 rushing TDs when Miami (FL) wins and 41.0 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Indiana has a 16.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND -8.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami (FL)ATS RECORDIndianaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-5-0All Games 7-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 50-20-00Home Games 3-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-0-0When Favored 5-6-0Miami (FL)
Non-Conference Opp 6-2-0Non-Conference Opp 3-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami (FL)ATS RECORDIndianaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-14-0All Games 13-9-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 3-9-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-0-0When Favored 5-9-0Miami (FL)
Non-Conference Opp 3-7-0Non-Conference Opp 5-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 5-4-0Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami (FL)O-U-P RECORDIndianaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-0UNDER
On Road 2-5-0At Home 4-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-0-1All Totals Last Season 11-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-0-1At Home Last Season 6-1-0OVER

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