May 11, 2026 8:48 PM EST

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers 2026-05-11 21:30:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy 85.0 percent favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Thunder are shooting 49.7 percent from the field and the Lakers are forecasted to shoot 47.4 percent. The Thunder have the rebounding advantage at 41.2 to 35.5. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 10.4 vs 15.5 for the Lakers. The Thunder are making 12.9 three pointers on 34.4 percent from three point range. The Lakers are making 12.1 three pointers on 36.7 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Shai Gilgeous Alexander 34.1, LeBron James 25.4 ASSISTS: Shai Gilgeous Alexander 9.3, LeBron James 9.8 REBOUNDS: Isaiah Hartenstein 9.3, Deandre Ayton 7.9 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at LAL 11.5 TOTAL 215.0. WIN-LOSS Oklahoma City Thunder 71-18 Los Angeles Lakers 57-34 ATS Oklahoma City Thunder 42-44 Sweat Barometer 1.3 Los Angeles Lakers 47-41 Sweat Barometer -0.4 OVER-UNDER Oklahoma City Thunder 53-36 Avg Over/Under Line 3.2 Los Angeles Lakers 45-43 Avg Over/Under Line 7.1 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Oklahoma City Thunder 44-40 Los Angeles Lakers 42-45 OVER-UNDER PICKS Oklahoma City Thunder 41-46 Los Angeles Lakers 41-45

NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Oklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDLos Angeles LakersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road33-10, 77.0% 2300Record at Home30-15, 67.0% 1500Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Los Angeles Lakers7-0, 100.0% 700VS Oklahoma City Thunder0-7, 0.0% -770Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better43-16, 73.0% 2540vs Team .500 or Better28-30, 48.0% -500Oklahoma City Thunder
Record as Road Favorite31-7, 82.0% 2330Record as Home Underdog10-8, 56.0% 120Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off29-24, 55.0% +260After 1 or More Days Off21-26, 45.0% -760Oklahoma City Thunder

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDLos Angeles LakersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road26-19, 58.0% 700Record at Home29-15, 66.0% 1400Los Angeles Lakers
VS Los Angeles Lakers1-3, 25.0% -230VS Oklahoma City Thunder3-1, 75.0% 190Los Angeles Lakers
vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260vs Team .500 or Better28-33, 46.0% -830Oklahoma City Thunder
Record as Road Favorite17-11, 61.0% 490Record as Home Underdog6-3, 67.0% 270Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off61-29, 68.0% +2910After 1 or More Days Off42-38, 53.0% +20Oklahoma City Thunder

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oklahoma City ThunderRECORDLos Angeles LakersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-15, 65.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-21, 52.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-0, 100.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-20, 56.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR23-21, 52.0% OverOVER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home53-36, 60.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road45-43, 51.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 20-19, 51.0% -90 Los Angeles Lakers Home Games: 22-22, 50.0% -220 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 2-1, 67.0% +90 Los Angeles Lakers Home Games: 4-1, 80.0% +290

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 23-19, 55.0% + 193 Los Angeles Lakers Home Games: 20-22, 48.0% -380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 3-0, 100.0% + 273 Los Angeles Lakers Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 20-23, 47.0% -2196 Los Angeles Lakers Home Games: 16-29, 36.0% +-890 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 2-1, 67.0% -100 Los Angeles Lakers Home Games: 4-1, 80.0% +428

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