April 01, 2026 8:42 AM EST

NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2026-04-01 18:30:00.0

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The Boston Celtics are solid 70.9 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Celtics are shooting 47.3 percent from the field and the Heat are forecasted to shoot 45.9 percent. The Celtics have the rebounding advantage at 43.7 to 41.5. The Celtics are committing fewer turnovers at 12.4 vs 13.4 for the Heat. The Celtics are making 14.7 three pointers on 34.9 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 13.4 three pointers on 36.4 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Jaylen Brown 29.6, Bam Adebayo 25.5 ASSISTS: Jaylen Brown 6.5, Davion Mitchell 5.1 REBOUNDS: Neemias Queta 7.0, Bam Adebayo 9.9 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA 5.0 TOTAL 228.5. WIN-LOSS Boston Celtics 50-25 Miami Heat 40-36 ATS Boston Celtics 43-30 Sweat Barometer 2.3 Miami Heat 42-31 Sweat Barometer 1.6 OVER-UNDER Boston Celtics 27-47 Avg Over/Under Line -4.3 Miami Heat 41-34 Avg Over/Under Line 1.8 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Boston Celtics 42-28 Miami Heat 35-34 OVER-UNDER PICKS Boston Celtics 29-41 Miami Heat 31-41

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

Boston CelticsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road24-14, 63.0% 1000Record at Home24-14, 63.0% 1000EVEN
VS Miami Heat3-0, 100.0% 300VS Boston Celtics0-3, 0.0% -330Boston Celtics
vs Team .500 or Better27-20, 57.0% 500vs Team .500 or Better21-28, 43.0% -980Boston Celtics
Record as Road Favorite19-4, 83.0% 1460Record as Home Underdog8-3, 73.0% 470Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off23-16, 59.0% +540After 1 or More Days Off18-20, 47.0% -400Boston Celtics

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

Boston CelticsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road33-15, 69.0% 1800Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Boston Celtics
VS Miami Heat7-1, 88.0% 590VS Boston Celtics1-7, 13.0% -670Boston Celtics
vs Team .500 or Better50-18, 74.0% 3020vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410Boston Celtics
Record as Road Favorite31-14, 69.0% 1560Record as Home Underdog0-12, 0.0% -1320Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off76-21, 78.0% +5290After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400Boston Celtics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston CelticsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-25, 34.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-17, 55.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-26, 45.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home27-47, 36.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road41-34, 55.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Boston Celtics Road Games: 24-13, 65.0% +970 Miami Heat Home Games: 14-19, 42.0% -690 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Celtics Road Games: 4-3, 57.0% +70 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-4, 43.0% -140

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Boston Celtics Road Games: 14-22, 39.0% -926 Miami Heat Home Games: 19-18, 51.0% -71 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Celtics Road Games: 1-6, 14.0% -509 Miami Heat Home Games: 5-3, 63.0% + 155

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Boston Celtics Road Games: 19-19, 50.0% -938 Miami Heat Home Games: 16-22, 42.0% 335 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Celtics Road Games: 3-4, 43.0% -400 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-6, 33.0% -212

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