March 07, 2026 10:20 AM EST

NBA: Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 2026-03-07 20:30:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy 76.3 percent favorites over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are shooting 42.4 percent from the field and the Thunder are forecasted to shoot 47.2 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Warriors projected for 43.0 rebounds vs. 43.5 for the Thunder. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 10.0 vs 17.1 for the Warriors. The Warriors are making 16.2 three pointers on 34.2 percent from three point range. The Thunder are making 15.7 three pointers on 36.2 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: De'Anthony Melton 14.8, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 34.3 ASSISTS: Draymond Green 5.2, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 8.8 REBOUNDS: Al Horford 6.6, Chet Holmgren 8.8 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at OKC -14.5 TOTAL 219.5. WIN-LOSS Golden State Warriors 32-30 Oklahoma City Thunder 49-15 ATS Golden State Warriors 27-32 Sweat Barometer -0.8 Oklahoma City Thunder 29-33 Sweat Barometer 1.2 OVER-UNDER Golden State Warriors 36-25 Avg Over/Under Line 0.9 Oklahoma City Thunder 37-27 Avg Over/Under Line 2.4 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Golden State Warriors 24-30 Oklahoma City Thunder 33-27 OVER-UNDER PICKS Golden State Warriors 28-32 Oklahoma City Thunder 29-33

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road13-17, 43.0% -400Record at Home25-7, 78.0% 1800Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder0-3, 0.0% -330VS Golden State Warriors3-0, 100.0% 300Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better16-20, 44.0% -600vs Team .500 or Better24-12, 67.0% 1080Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog6-7, 46.0% -170Record As Home Favorite24-7, 77.0% 1630Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off15-18, 45.0% -480After 1 or More Days Off20-17, 54.0% +130Oklahoma City Thunder

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-17, 60.0% 800Record at Home36-10, 78.0% 2600Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder1-3, 25.0% -230VS Golden State Warriors3-1, 75.0% 190Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better22-31, 42.0% -1210vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog9-14, 39.0% -640Record As Home Favorite32-7, 82.0% 2430Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off46-35, 57.0% +750After 1 or More Days Off61-29, 68.0% +2910Oklahoma City Thunder

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Golden State WarriorsRECORDOklahoma City ThunderRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-14, 53.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-15, 53.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60.0% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR18-23, 44.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR24-22, 52.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home35-21, 63.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road33-25, 57.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 13-13, 50.0% -130 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 17-14, 55.0% +160 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 13-17, 43.0% -517 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 12-19, 39.0% -808 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -309 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 17-13, 57.0% +1367 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 13-19, 41.0% 1185 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% +396 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% +382

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