March 29, 2026 6:42 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers 2026-03-29 16:00:00.0

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The Miami Heat are heavy 76.7 percent favorites over the Indiana Pacers. The Heat are shooting 49.6 percent from the field which is much better than the Pacers who are forecasted to shoot 44.2 percent. The Heat have the rebounding advantage at 48.0 to 40.6. Turnovers are pretty even with the Heat projected for 14.8 turnovers vs. 14.6 for the Pacers. The Heat are making 14.7 three pointers on 38.3 percent from three point range. The Pacers are making 16.0 three pointers on 37.1 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 26.8, Pascal Siakam 20.5 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 4.9, Andrew Nembhard 6.3 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 10.8, Jarace Walker 5.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at IND 9.5 TOTAL 245.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 39-35 Indiana Pacers 16-58 ATS Miami Heat 41-30 Sweat Barometer 1.9 Indiana Pacers 34-40 Sweat Barometer -2.4 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 40-33 Avg Over/Under Line 2.0 Indiana Pacers 39-35 Avg Over/Under Line 1.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 34-33 Indiana Pacers 31-41 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 30-40 Indiana Pacers 32-40

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDIndiana PacersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road16-21, 43.0% -500Record at Home10-27, 27.0% -1700Miami Heat
VS Indiana Pacers1-1, 50.0% -10VS Miami Heat1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team Under .50020-8, 71.0% 1120vs Team .500 or Better8-39, 17.0% -3490Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite6-4, 60.0% 160Record as Home Underdog7-23, 23.0% -1830Miami Heat
Playing Back-to-Back Days23-10, 70.0% +1200Playing Back-to-Back Days8-18, 31.0% -1180Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDIndiana PacersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home32-17, 65.0% 1500Indiana Pacers
VS Indiana Pacers1-2, 33.0% -120VS Miami Heat2-1, 67.0% 90Indiana Pacers
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better34-31, 52.0% -10Indiana Pacers
Record as Road Favorite12-4, 75.0% 760Record as Home Underdog8-6, 57.0% 140Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off52-44, 54.0% +360Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDIndiana PacersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-17, 53.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-17, 54.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR30-19, 61.0% OverN/A
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home40-33, 55.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road39-35, 53.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 21-14, 60.0% +560 Indiana Pacers Home Games: 16-19, 46.0% -490 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80 Indiana Pacers Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -30

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 12-22, 35.0% -1108 Indiana Pacers Home Games: 13-22, 37.0% -1017 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Indiana Pacers Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 17-20, 46.0% +44 Indiana Pacers Home Games: 21-16, 57.0% 713 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% +68 Indiana Pacers Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -273

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