March 29, 2026 6:42 AM EST

NBA: Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets 2026-03-29 21:00:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are heavy 81.1 percent favorites over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are shooting 45.8 percent from the field which is significantly lower than the Nuggets who are forecasted to shoot 51.9 percent. The Nuggets have the rebounding advantage at 41.6 to 39.0. The Nuggets are committing fewer turnovers at 12.1 vs 17.4 for the Warriors. The Warriors are making 14.7 three pointers on 32.3 percent from three point range. The Nuggets are making 14.0 three pointers on 39.6 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Kristaps Porzingis 18.6, Nikola Jokic 32.6 ASSISTS: Draymond Green 6.4, Nikola Jokic 10.0 REBOUNDS: Draymond Green 6.2, Nikola Jokic 12.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DEN -12.0 TOTAL 239.0. WIN-LOSS Golden State Warriors 36-38 Denver Nuggets 47-28 ATS Golden State Warriors 31-40 Sweat Barometer -1.3 Denver Nuggets 40-35 Sweat Barometer 0.7 OVER-UNDER Golden State Warriors 45-28 Avg Over/Under Line 2.3 Denver Nuggets 48-25 Avg Over/Under Line 7.9 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Golden State Warriors 32-34 Denver Nuggets 37-35 OVER-UNDER PICKS Golden State Warriors 33-38 Denver Nuggets 47-26

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Golden State Warriors

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road15-23, 39.0% -800Record at Home23-13, 64.0% 1000Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets2-1, 67.0% 90VS Golden State Warriors1-2, 33.0% -120Golden State Warriors
vs Team .500 or Better17-28, 38.0% -1380vs Team Under .50024-9, 73.0% 1410Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog6-12, 33.0% -720Record As Home Favorite21-6, 78.0% 1440Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off17-23, 43.0% -830After 1 or More Days Off21-18, 54.0% +120Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-17, 60.0% 800Record at Home37-11, 77.0% 2600Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets0-4, 0.0% -440VS Golden State Warriors4-0, 100.0% 400Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better22-31, 42.0% -1210vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog9-14, 39.0% -640Record As Home Favorite36-11, 77.0% 2390Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off46-35, 57.0% +750After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Golden State WarriorsRECORDDenver NuggetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-16, 58.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-16, 54.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-2, 78.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR18-23, 44.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-27, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home45-28, 62.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road48-25, 66.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 17-17, 50.0% -170 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 15-19, 44.0% -590 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 5-4, 56.0% +60 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-5, 29.0% -350

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 15-22, 41.0% -835 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 21-14, 60.0% + 511 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 2-6, 25.0% -418 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 4-4, 50.0% -36

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 16-22, 42.0% +356 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 13-23, 36.0% +-332 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 3-6, 33.0% +58 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 4-5, 44.0% -260

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