March 27, 2026 5:24 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers 2026-03-27 18:30:00.0

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The Cleveland Cavaliers are slight 55.5 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 46.5 percent from the field and the Cavaliers are forecasted to shoot 46.4 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Heat projected for 44.5 rebounds vs. 43.3 for the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are committing fewer turnovers at 11.7 vs 15.9 for the Heat. The Heat are making 15.2 three pointers on 39.0 percent from three point range. The Cavaliers are making 16.2 three pointers on 36.0 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 26.7, Donovan Mitchell 25.8 ASSISTS: Bam Adebayo 5.2, James Harden 7.7 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 9.7, Jarrett Allen 8.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at CLE -5.5 TOTAL 242.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 39-34 Cleveland Cavaliers 45-28 ATS Miami Heat 41-29 Sweat Barometer 2.1 Cleveland Cavaliers 31-42 Sweat Barometer -1.9 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 39-33 Avg Over/Under Line 1.5 Cleveland Cavaliers 37-35 Avg Over/Under Line -0.6 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 34-32 Cleveland Cavaliers 41-30 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 30-39 Cleveland Cavaliers 33-38

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDCleveland CavaliersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road16-20, 44.0% -400Record at Home23-14, 62.0% 900Cleveland Cavaliers
VS Cleveland Cavaliers2-1, 67.0% 90VS Miami Heat1-2, 33.0% -120Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better20-27, 43.0% -970vs Team .500 or Better25-22, 53.0% 80Cleveland Cavaliers
Record As Road Underdog10-16, 38.0% -760Record As Home Favorite22-11, 67.0% 990Cleveland Cavaliers
After 1 or More Days Off18-19, 49.0% -290After 1 or More Days Off18-25, 42.0% -950Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Cavaliers

Miami HeatATS RECORDCleveland CavaliersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home30-17, 64.0% 1300Cleveland Cavaliers
VS Cleveland Cavaliers3-1, 75.0% 190VS Miami Heat1-3, 25.0% -230Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better26-33, 44.0% -1030Cleveland Cavaliers
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite26-10, 72.0% 1500Cleveland Cavaliers
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off52-38, 58.0% +1020Cleveland Cavaliers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDCleveland CavaliersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-17, 51.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-22, 41.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-21, 54.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home39-33, 54.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road37-35, 51.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 21-13, 62.0% +670 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 22-15, 59.0% +550 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 4-2, 67.0% +180

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 12-21, 36.0% -1008 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 20-16, 56.0% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 17-19, 47.0% +144 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 14-23, 38.0% 1621 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% +68 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% +853

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