March 23, 2026 6:31 AM EST

NBA: San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat 2026-03-23 18:00:00.0

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The San Antonio Spurs are slight 52.5 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Spurs are shooting 47.2 percent from the field and the Heat are forecasted to shoot 46.1 percent. The Heat have the rebounding advantage at 45.9 to 43.9. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 12.4 vs 13.6 for the Spurs. The Spurs are making 15.6 three pointers on 35.1 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 15.3 three pointers on 38.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Victor Wembanyama 24.7, Bam Adebayo 27.2 ASSISTS: Stephon Castle 6.0, Tyler Herro 4.7 REBOUNDS: Victor Wembanyama 9.3, Bam Adebayo 11.2 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA 5.0 TOTAL 240.0. WIN-LOSS San Antonio Spurs 53-19 Miami Heat 38-33 ATS San Antonio Spurs 40-28 Sweat Barometer 2.7 Miami Heat 40-28 Sweat Barometer 2.2 OVER-UNDER San Antonio Spurs 32-38 Avg Over/Under Line 1.9 Miami Heat 38-32 Avg Over/Under Line 1.8 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS San Antonio Spurs 33-32 Miami Heat 33-32 OVER-UNDER PICKS San Antonio Spurs 33-35 Miami Heat 28-39

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

San Antonio SpursATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-12, 68.0% 1300Record at Home23-13, 64.0% 1000San Antonio Spurs
VS Miami Heat1-0, 100.0% 100VS San Antonio Spurs0-1, 0.0% -110San Antonio Spurs
vs Team .500 or Better28-13, 68.0% 1370vs Team .500 or Better16-25, 39.0% -1150San Antonio Spurs
Record as Road Favorite16-4, 80.0% 1160Record as Home Underdog7-2, 78.0% 480San Antonio Spurs
Playing Back-to-Back Days20-9, 69.0% +1010Playing Back-to-Back Days23-9, 72.0% +1310Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

San Antonio SpursATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road10-31, 24.0% -2100Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat0-2, 0.0% -220VS San Antonio Spurs2-0, 100.0% 200Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better12-45, 21.0% -3750vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite2-0, 100.0% 200Record as Home Underdog0-12, 0.0% -1320San Antonio Spurs
After 1 or More Days Off21-55, 28.0% -3950After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Antonio SpursRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-20, 43.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-16, 56.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-23, 43.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home31-37, 46.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road37-31, 54.0%N/A

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - San Antonio Spurs Road Games: 19-14, 58.0% +360 Miami Heat Home Games: 13-19, 41.0% -790 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Antonio Spurs Road Games: 4-3, 57.0% +70 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-5, 38.0% -250

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - San Antonio Spurs Road Games: 15-20, 43.0% -635 Miami Heat Home Games: 17-18, 49.0% -253 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Antonio Spurs Road Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-4, 50.0% -36

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - San Antonio Spurs Road Games: 16-21, 43.0% +105 Miami Heat Home Games: 15-21, 42.0% 314 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Antonio Spurs Road Games: 2-5, 29.0% -406 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-6, 33.0% -208

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