March 23, 2026 6:31 AM EST

NBA: Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks 2026-03-23 20:30:00.0

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The Dallas Mavericks are solid 59.6 percent favorites over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are shooting 46.2 percent from the field and the Mavericks are forecasted to shoot 48.9 percent. The Mavericks have the rebounding advantage at 43.8 to 40.1. The Mavericks are committing fewer turnovers at 14.6 vs 16.7 for the Warriors. The Warriors are making 14.2 three pointers on 31.9 percent from three point range. The Mavericks are making 11.5 three pointers on 35.6 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Kristaps Porzingis 18.7, Cooper Flagg 24.2 ASSISTS: Draymond Green 6.8, Cooper Flagg 4.8 REBOUNDS: Draymond Green 7.2, Daniel Gafford 6.3 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DAL 2.5 TOTAL 231.5. WIN-LOSS Golden State Warriors 33-38 Dallas Mavericks 23-48 ATS Golden State Warriors 30-38 Sweat Barometer -1.1 Dallas Mavericks 30-39 Sweat Barometer -1.0 OVER-UNDER Golden State Warriors 43-27 Avg Over/Under Line 1.5 Dallas Mavericks 34-36 Avg Over/Under Line 0.9 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Golden State Warriors 30-33 Dallas Mavericks 36-33 OVER-UNDER PICKS Golden State Warriors 32-36 Dallas Mavericks 38-31

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Golden State Warriors

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road14-23, 38.0% -900Record at Home14-22, 39.0% -800Dallas Mavericks
VS Dallas Mavericks1-1, 50.0% -10VS Golden State Warriors1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team Under .50017-12, 59.0% 380vs Team Under .50014-17, 45.0% -470Golden State Warriors
Record as Road Favorite8-11, 42.0% -410Record as Home Underdog8-15, 35.0% -850Golden State Warriors
After 1 or More Days Off16-21, 43.0% -710After 1 or More Days Off14-22, 39.0% -1020Golden State Warriors

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Mavericks

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-17, 60.0% 800Record at Home31-20, 61.0% 1100Dallas Mavericks
VS Dallas Mavericks1-3, 25.0% -230VS Golden State Warriors3-1, 75.0% 190Dallas Mavericks
vs Team .500 or Better22-31, 42.0% -1210vs Team .500 or Better38-36, 51.0% -160Dallas Mavericks
Record as Road Favorite16-3, 84.0% 1270Record as Home Underdog7-7, 50.0% -70Golden State Warriors
After 1 or More Days Off46-35, 57.0% +750After 1 or More Days Off61-41, 60.0% +1590Dallas Mavericks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Golden State WarriorsRECORDDallas MavericksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-16, 57.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-16, 56.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR18-23, 44.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-28, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home41-27, 60.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road33-34, 49.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 17-16, 52.0% -60 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 19-15, 56.0% +250 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 6-4, 60.0% +160 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -240

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 15-21, 42.0% -735 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 19-16, 54.0% + 129 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 3-6, 33.0% -327 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 4-2, 67.0% + 164

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 16-21, 43.0% +456 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 20-16, 56.0% 1340 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 4-6, 40.0% +58 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% +144

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