March 16, 2026 8:02 AM EST

NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans 2026-03-16 19:00:00.0

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The New Orleans Pelicans are solid 64.3 percent favorites over the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks are shooting 50.4 percent from the field and the Pelicans are forecasted to shoot 50.3 percent. The Pelicans have the rebounding advantage at 42.1 to 39.0. The Pelicans are committing fewer turnovers at 11.5 vs 15.8 for the Mavericks. The Mavericks are making 11.3 three pointers on 34.1 percent from three point range. The Pelicans are making 11.8 three pointers on 36.4 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Cooper Flagg 24.0, Trey Murphy 25.1 ASSISTS: Cooper Flagg 4.9, Dejounte Murray 6.3 REBOUNDS: Marvin Bagley 5.5, Saddiq Bey 5.3 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at NO -8.5 TOTAL 239.0. WIN-LOSS Dallas Mavericks 23-45 New Orleans Pelicans 22-46 ATS Dallas Mavericks 29-37 Sweat Barometer -0.8 New Orleans Pelicans 38-27 Sweat Barometer 0.9 OVER-UNDER Dallas Mavericks 32-36 Avg Over/Under Line 0.2 New Orleans Pelicans 36-32 Avg Over/Under Line 0.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Dallas Mavericks 36-30 New Orleans Pelicans 35-29 OVER-UNDER PICKS Dallas Mavericks 36-31 New Orleans Pelicans 35-32

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New Orleans Pelicans

Dallas MavericksATS RECORDNew Orleans PelicansATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road9-25, 26.0% -1600Record at Home13-21, 38.0% -800New Orleans Pelicans
VS New Orleans Pelicans1-2, 33.0% -120VS Dallas Mavericks2-1, 67.0% 90New Orleans Pelicans
vs Team Under .50013-14, 48.0% -240vs Team Under .50016-12, 57.0% 280New Orleans Pelicans
Record As Road Underdog4-22, 15.0% -2020Record As Home Favorite6-2, 75.0% 380New Orleans Pelicans
Playing Back-to-Back Days16-16, 50.0% -160After 1 or More Days Off26-14, 65.0% +1060New Orleans Pelicans

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New Orleans Pelicans

Dallas MavericksATS RECORDNew Orleans PelicansATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road32-21, 60.0% 1100Record at Home22-22, 50.0% 0Dallas Mavericks
VS New Orleans Pelicans2-2, 50.0% -20VS Dallas Mavericks2-2, 50.0% -20EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better38-36, 51.0% -160vs Team .500 or Better28-30, 48.0% -500Dallas Mavericks
Record As Road Underdog11-17, 39.0% -770Record As Home Favorite16-16, 50.0% -160New Orleans Pelicans
After 1 or More Days Off61-41, 60.0% +1590After 1 or More Days Off48-37, 56.0% +730Dallas Mavericks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas MavericksRECORDNew Orleans PelicansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-20, 41.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-14, 59.0% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR26-27, 49.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR20-24, 45.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home32-36, 47.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road36-32, 53.0%N/A

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 17-17, 50.0% -170 New Orleans Pelicans Home Games: 17-14, 55.0% +160 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 5-5, 50.0% -50 New Orleans Pelicans Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 19-15, 56.0% + 229 New Orleans Pelicans Home Games: 20-14, 59.0% + 420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 7-3, 70.0% + 337 New Orleans Pelicans Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 10-24, 29.0% +150 New Orleans Pelicans Home Games: 13-21, 38.0% +-534 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 3-7, 30.0% +255 New Orleans Pelicans Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -37

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW