February 26, 2026 8:21 PM EST

NBA: Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks 2026-02-26 20:30:00.0

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The Dallas Mavericks are solid 68.7 percent favorites over the Sacramento Kings. The Kings are shooting 44.6 percent from the field and the Mavericks are forecasted to shoot 49.5 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Kings projected for 42.4 rebounds vs. 42.8 for the Mavericks. The Kings are committing fewer turnovers at 14.0 vs 15.0 for the Mavericks. The Kings are making 10.7 three pointers on 29.6 percent from three point range. The Mavericks are making 14.3 three pointers on 37.3 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: DeMar DeRozan 22.0, Naji Marshall 21.8 ASSISTS: DeMar DeRozan 5.6, Naji Marshall 5.2 REBOUNDS: Maxime Raynaud 9.7, Marvin Bagley 9.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DAL -7.5 TOTAL 233.5. WIN-LOSS Sacramento Kings 13-47 Dallas Mavericks 21-36 ATS Sacramento Kings 22-36 Sweat Barometer -3.7 Dallas Mavericks 25-30 Sweat Barometer 0.1 OVER-UNDER Sacramento Kings 30-30 Avg Over/Under Line 3.6 Dallas Mavericks 29-28 Avg Over/Under Line 1.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Sacramento Kings 32-26 Dallas Mavericks 31-24 OVER-UNDER PICKS Sacramento Kings 25-34 Dallas Mavericks 28-28

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Mavericks

Sacramento KingsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road4-27, 13.0% -2300Record at Home14-16, 47.0% -200Dallas Mavericks
VS Dallas Mavericks1-1, 50.0% -10VS Sacramento Kings1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team Under .5005-17, 23.0% -1370vs Team Under .50012-13, 48.0% -230Dallas Mavericks
Record As Road Underdog4-26, 13.0% -2460Record As Home Favorite6-5, 55.0% 50Dallas Mavericks
Playing Back-to-Back Days8-19, 30.0% -1290After 1 or More Days Off11-19, 37.0% -990Dallas Mavericks

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Mavericks

Sacramento KingsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road22-20, 52.0% 200Record at Home31-20, 61.0% 1100Dallas Mavericks
VS Dallas Mavericks2-2, 50.0% -20VS Sacramento Kings2-2, 50.0% -20EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better26-32, 45.0% -920vs Team .500 or Better38-36, 51.0% -160Dallas Mavericks
Record As Road Underdog10-14, 42.0% -540Record As Home Favorite24-13, 65.0% 970Dallas Mavericks
After 1 or More Days Off42-37, 53.0% +130After 1 or More Days Off61-41, 60.0% +1590Dallas Mavericks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Sacramento KingsRECORDDallas MavericksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-16, 48.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-14, 53.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR16-26, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-28, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home29-28, 51.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road29-23, 56.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Sacramento Kings Road Games: 13-17, 43.0% -570 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 17-11, 61.0% +490 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Sacramento Kings Road Games: 5-4, 56.0% +60 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 2-2, 50.0% -20

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Sacramento Kings Road Games: 16-14, 53.0% + 56 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 15-14, 52.0% -35 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Sacramento Kings Road Games: 3-5, 38.0% -227 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 1-3, 25.0% -209

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Sacramento Kings Road Games: 9-22, 29.0% -669 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 18-12, 60.0% 1297 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Sacramento Kings Road Games: 4-5, 44.0% -80 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 3-1, 75.0% +42

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