February 24, 2026 8:15 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks 2026-02-24 20:00:00.0

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The Miami Heat are solid 72.1 percent favorites over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Heat are shooting 48.2 percent from the field and the Bucks are forecasted to shoot 46.0 percent. The Heat have the rebounding advantage at 45.2 to 42.9. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 12.6 vs 15.9 for the Bucks. The Heat are making 14.9 three pointers on 38.4 percent from three point range. The Bucks are making 16.0 three pointers on 38.9 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 20.4, Cam Thomas 18.2 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 5.1, Kevin Porter, Jr 7.0 REBOUNDS: Kel'el Ware 8.8, Bobby Portis 7.5 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIL 6.0 TOTAL 229.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 31-27 Milwaukee Bucks 24-31 ATS Miami Heat 33-23 Sweat Barometer 2.7 Milwaukee Bucks 25-29 Sweat Barometer -1.6 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 28-29 Avg Over/Under Line 0.4 Milwaukee Bucks 21-34 Avg Over/Under Line 0.1 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 28-25 Milwaukee Bucks 28-26 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 23-32 Milwaukee Bucks 25-29

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDMilwaukee BucksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road14-16, 47.0% -200Record at Home12-13, 48.0% -100Milwaukee Bucks
VS Milwaukee Bucks1-0, 100.0% 100VS Miami Heat0-1, 0.0% -110Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50021-7, 75.0% 1330vs Team .500 or Better8-23, 26.0% -1730Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite6-3, 67.0% 270Record as Home Underdog6-8, 43.0% -280Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off13-15, 46.0% -350After 1 or More Days Off15-19, 44.0% -590Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Bucks

Miami HeatATS RECORDMilwaukee BucksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home33-12, 73.0% 2100Milwaukee Bucks
VS Milwaukee Bucks1-2, 33.0% -120VS Miami Heat2-1, 67.0% 90Milwaukee Bucks
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better29-27, 52.0% -70Milwaukee Bucks
Record as Road Favorite12-4, 75.0% 760Record as Home Underdog5-0, 100.0% 500Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off49-37, 57.0% +830Milwaukee Bucks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDMilwaukee BucksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-16, 45.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-14, 44.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-5, 17.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR23-20, 53.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home27-25, 52.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road16-32, 33.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 18-10, 64.0% +700 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 14-11, 56.0% +190 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 3-1, 75.0% +190

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 9-18, 33.0% -981 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 11-13, 46.0% -299 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -309 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 3-1, 75.0% + 173

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 14-16, 47.0% -216 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 13-12, 52.0% 480 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% -56 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 3-1, 75.0% +194

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