February 22, 2026 5:47 PM EST

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors 2026-02-22 15:30:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are solid 71.7 percent favorites over the Golden State Warriors. The Nuggets are shooting 51.2 percent from the field which is much better than the Warriors who are forecasted to shoot 43.9 percent. The Nuggets have the rebounding advantage at 46.0 to 39.1. Turnovers are pretty even with the Nuggets projected for 14.9 turnovers vs. 14.1 for the Warriors. The Nuggets are making 13.6 three pointers on 37.6 percent from three point range. The Warriors are making 18.1 three pointers on 35.2 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Nikola Jokic 34.9, Moses Moody 13.8 ASSISTS: Nikola Jokic 10.4, Draymond Green 5.7 REBOUNDS: Nikola Jokic 11.7, Al Horford 6.5 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at GS 6.0 TOTAL 229.5. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 36-21 Golden State Warriors 29-27 ATS Denver Nuggets 32-25 Sweat Barometer 1.7 Golden State Warriors 24-29 Sweat Barometer -0.9 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 38-18 Avg Over/Under Line 9.0 Golden State Warriors 33-23 Avg Over/Under Line 0.2 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 32-24 Golden State Warriors 22-27 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 36-20 Golden State Warriors 26-29

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDGolden State WarriorsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road21-10, 68.0% 1100Record at Home18-11, 62.0% 700Denver Nuggets
VS Golden State Warriors1-1, 50.0% -10VS Denver Nuggets1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better13-12, 52.0% -20vs Team .500 or Better12-18, 40.0% -780Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite13-6, 68.0% 640Record as Home Underdog1-4, 20.0% -340Denver Nuggets
Playing Back-to-Back Days16-9, 64.0% +610After 1 or More Days Off13-15, 46.0% -350Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Golden State Warriors

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDGolden State WarriorsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-19, 59.0% 800Record at Home21-19, 53.0% 200Denver Nuggets
VS Golden State Warriors4-0, 100.0% 400VS Denver Nuggets0-4, 0.0% -440Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520vs Team .500 or Better22-31, 42.0% -1210Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite20-13, 61.0% 570Record as Home Underdog2-6, 25.0% -460Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110After 1 or More Days Off46-35, 57.0% +750Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDGolden State WarriorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-8, 73.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-10, 66.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR19-26, 42.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-14, 64.0% OverOVER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home32-16, 67.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road30-22, 58.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 19-11, 63.0% +690 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 11-15, 42.0% -550 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 5-1, 83.0% +390 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 4-1, 80.0% +290

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 19-11, 63.0% + 629 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 14-14, 50.0% -126 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 5-1, 83.0% + 355 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 5-0, 100.0% + 455

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 17-14, 55.0% +778 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 8-21, 28.0% +-972 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% +274 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -29

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